Row 83865

Row ID: 83865 | Dataset Entry | Axioma AXP Content Repository

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"Overdue" is an oversimplification, plate tectonics don't really work like that.

What you're referring to is a megathrust earthquake in the Cascadia Subduction zone.

In theory, it could be 9.0+, which would basically be like, a regional nuclear strike.

However, current estimates are that there's about a 1/3 chance of a smaller, but still serious earthquake (7.0 or less), within the next 50 years. The earthquake itself is also off the coast, so it's not right next to a population center.

So, is this a real risk? Yes, and it should be taken seriously. But it's unlikely to happen while any of us are still alive. So a term like "overdue" doesn't really apply to things like this; it's more about a statistical likelihood that increases over time.

https://www.oregon.gov/oem/hazardsprep/pages/cascadia-subduction-zone.aspx#:~:text=The%20Cascadia%20Subduction%20Zone%20has,underneath%20the%20North%20American%20plate.

FieldValue
text "Overdue" is an oversimplification, plate tectonics don't really work like that. What you're referring to is a megathrust earthquake in the Cascadia Subduction zone. In theory, it could be 9.0+, which would basically be like, a regional nuclear strike. However, current estimates are that there's about a 1/3 chance of a smaller, but still serious earthquake (7.0 or less), within the next 50 years. The earthquake itself is also off the coast, so it's not right next to a population center. So, …
label r/economics
dataType comment
communityName r/Economics
datetime 2024-05-24
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Raw Record

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  "text": "\"Overdue\" is an oversimplification, plate tectonics don't really work like that.\n\nWhat you're referring to is a megathrust earthquake in the Cascadia Subduction zone.\n\nIn theory, it could be 9.0+, which would basically be like, a regional nuclear strike.\n\nHowever, current estimates are that there's about a 1/3 chance of a smaller, but still serious earthquake (7.0 or less), within the next 50 years. The earthquake itself is also off the coast, so it's not right next to a population center.\n\nSo, is this a real risk? Yes, and it should be taken seriously. But it's unlikely to happen while any of us are still alive. So a term like \"overdue\" doesn't really apply to things like this; it's more about a statistical likelihood that increases over time.\n\nhttps://www.oregon.gov/oem/hazardsprep/pages/cascadia-subduction-zone.aspx#:~:text=The%20Cascadia%20Subduction%20Zone%20has,underneath%20the%20North%20American%20plate.",
  "label": "r/economics",
  "dataType": "comment",
  "communityName": "r/Economics",
  "datetime": "2024-05-24",
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