Row 69588

Row ID: 69588 | Dataset Entry | Axioma AXP Content Repository

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**TL/DR $ASTS is a volatile stock that popped and then dropped, and is likely to do that again.**

πŸ“ˆπŸ“ˆπŸ“‰πŸ”‚

Following a formal agreement with AT&T AST SpaceMobile shares rose rapidly with ~ +100% to then give back almost half.

Short interest did not change much. From around 40.8 Mn shares shorted 05/17 to 37.4 shares shorted 05/23.

The agreement was significant news to the company and the reaction came with a record volume traded. Sharp increase of SP yet most shorts are still there.

There are a few more **catalysts** that are about the same size remaining:

β€’ **First Net** formal agreement.

β€’ Delivery of the first **5 satellites** to Space-X.

β€’ **EXIM** financing

β€’ Delivery & testing of **ASICs chips** from TSMC for the next gen sats.

β€’ Regulatory clearance from the FCC for **US market access.**

β€’ News of the test results through **Fairwinds DoD contract**.

β€’ Converting some of the rest of the 49 MoUs with Mobile Network Operators into pre-paid **formal agreements** like the AT&T deal.

β€’ Rural **5G fund** grant.

If some/any of these catalysts materialize the short interest is pretty much intact near record levels and a similar spike and cool-off is likely to occur again like the one we just saw.

There are also technological and businessmodel aspects to $ASTS worth discussing. But right now the market shys from that subject and focuses on funding and execution risks. And so I will not go into those aspects. I did some DD and they’re good, there, imo. πŸ›°οΈ=πŸ’°

The main focus - and the shorts thesis - are on funding and execution risks at the moment. And catalysts are stacking up to disprove those fears.

**AT&T and Google** are the latest strategic investors. **American Tower**, **Vodafone** and **Bell Canada** are onboard since long. **Nokia** provides the cellular base-station.

Disclosure: Holding 77,777 shares. No options.

I am just a **Cat** not a financial advisor.

πŸˆβ€β¬› β‰ πŸ‘¨β€πŸ«

FieldValue
text **TL/DR $ASTS is a volatile stock that popped and then dropped, and is likely to do that again.** πŸ“ˆπŸ“ˆπŸ“‰πŸ”‚ Following a formal agreement with AT&T AST SpaceMobile shares rose rapidly with ~ +100% to then give back almost half. Short interest did not change much. From around 40.8 Mn shares shorted 05/17 to 37.4 shares shorted 05/23. The agreement was significant news to the company and the reaction came with a record volume traded. Sharp increase of SP yet most shorts are still there. There …
label r/wallstreetbets
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communityName r/wallstreetbets
datetime 2024-05-23
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Raw Record

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  "text": "**TL/DR $ASTS is a volatile stock that popped and then dropped, and is likely to do that again.**\n\nπŸ“ˆπŸ“ˆπŸ“‰πŸ”‚\n\nFollowing a formal agreement with AT&T AST SpaceMobile shares rose rapidly with ~ +100% to then give back almost half.\n\n Short interest did not change much. From around 40.8 Mn shares shorted 05/17 to 37.4 shares shorted 05/23.\n\nThe agreement was significant news to the company and the reaction came with a record volume traded. Sharp increase of SP yet most shorts are still there.\n\nThere are a few more **catalysts** that are about the same size remaining:\n\nβ€’ **First Net** formal agreement.\n\nβ€’ Delivery of the first **5 satellites** to Space-X.\n\nβ€’ **EXIM** financing\n\nβ€’ Delivery & testing of **ASICs chips** from TSMC for the next gen sats.\n\nβ€’ Regulatory clearance from the FCC for **US market access.**\n\nβ€’ News of the test results through **Fairwinds DoD contract**.\n\nβ€’ Converting some of the rest of the 49 MoUs with Mobile Network Operators into pre-paid **formal agreements** like the AT&T deal.\n\nβ€’ Rural **5G fund** grant.\n\nIf some/any of these catalysts materialize the short interest is pretty much intact near record levels and a similar spike and cool-off is likely to occur again like the one we just saw.\n\nThere are also technological and businessmodel aspects to $ASTS worth discussing. But right now the market shys from that subject and focuses on funding and execution risks. And so I will not go into those aspects. I did some DD and they’re good, there, imo. πŸ›°οΈ=πŸ’°\n\nThe main focus - and the shorts thesis - are on funding and execution risks at the moment.  And catalysts are stacking up to disprove those fears.\n\n**AT&T and Google** are the latest strategic investors. **American Tower**, **Vodafone** and **Bell Canada** are onboard since long. **Nokia** provides the cellular base-station.\n\nDisclosure: Holding 77,777 shares.\nNo options.\n\nI am just a **Cat** not a financial advisor.\n\nπŸˆβ€β¬› β‰ πŸ‘¨β€πŸ«",
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Entry Information