Row 14269

Row ID: 14269 | Dataset Entry | Axioma AXP Content Repository

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No, because you'll also have 10M fewer kids, which means the number of dependents is not actually much higher (depends on which numbers you use)

Now, S Korea may be in big trouble, since their fertility rate is extreme (and they are technically at war with another country), but ... USA has 1.6 and Japan has 1.3. Japan has had population decline for 20+ years, and the world hasn't ended.

Imagine that we have stable population, and forget infant mortality and incels :), assume we have equal number of each sex, and every woman will get married and have two kids. Also assume each kids is a dependent for 20 years, and each old person too. For each couple, you have 4 dependents (two kids, and one parent from each, assuming they're sharing burden with one other sibling), or 2 dependents per person (not their whole life, just for 20 years each dependent).

If each woman has only 1 kid (and we get to a stable state), then each couple would have 5 dependents instead of 4 (4 parents, and 1 kid) ... doesn't seem insurmountable to me (and we can adjust things).

FieldValue
text No, because you'll also have 10M fewer kids, which means the number of dependents is not actually much higher (depends on which numbers you use) Now, S Korea may be in big trouble, since their fertility rate is extreme (and they are technically at war with another country), but ... USA has 1.6 and Japan has 1.3. Japan has had population decline for 20+ years, and the world hasn't ended. Imagine that we have stable population, and forget infant mortality and incels :), assume we have equal numb…
label r/economics
dataType comment
communityName r/Economics
datetime 2024-05-20
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Raw Record

{
  "text": "No, because you'll also have 10M fewer kids, which means the number of dependents is not actually much higher (depends on which numbers you use)\n\nNow, S Korea may be in big trouble, since their fertility rate is extreme (and they are technically at war with another country), but ... USA has 1.6 and Japan has 1.3. Japan has had population decline for 20+ years, and the world hasn't ended.\n\nImagine that we have stable population, and forget infant mortality and incels :), assume we have equal number of each sex, and every woman will get married and have two kids. Also assume each kids is a dependent for 20 years, and each old person too. For each couple, you have 4 dependents (two kids, and one parent from each, assuming they're sharing burden with one other sibling), or 2 dependents per person (not their whole life, just for 20 years each dependent). \n\nIf each woman has only 1 kid (and we get to a stable state), then each couple would have 5 dependents instead of 4 (4 parents, and 1 kid) ... doesn't seem insurmountable to me (and we can adjust things).",
  "label": "r/economics",
  "dataType": "comment",
  "communityName": "r/Economics",
  "datetime": "2024-05-20",
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